Uncertainty reduction in Models for Understanding Development Applications
UMFULA is a new project which focuses on climate variability and change on 5 to 40 year timescales in south-central Africa. In particular it will address the causes of climate projection uncertainty through extensive process-based model evaluation. UMFULA is a component of the Future Climate for Africa research programme, jointly funded by the UK Department for International Development and the Natural Environment Research Council. Its focus is not only to advance scientific knowledge and predictive ability, but also to better integrate science into longer-term decision making and risk management.